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Live prediction market odds for Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / PredictIt

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

2026-08-04

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the Michigan Democratic Governor nominee for the 2026 election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies in a key battleground state as candidates vie for support ahead of the primaries.

Jocelyn Benson leads the “Michigan Democratic Governor nominee” event at 92.5% implied probability, followed by Garlin Gilchrist at 0.6%. A 7.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
JB
Jocelyn BensonARB
92% Avg
Kalshi89¢
PredictIt97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
88.0%87¢89¢11¢13¢
PredictItPredictIt
95.5%94¢97¢3¢6¢
GG
Garlin Gilchrist
1% Avg
Kalshi1¢
PredictIt2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Jocelyn Benson

Jocelyn Benson is the current Secretary of State of Michigan, serving her second term since January 2023. She previously served as dean of Wayne State University Law School from 2012 to 2016. She is running for the Democratic nomination for Michigan governor in 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign strategies are critical in shaping the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and key issues in Michigan will play a significant role.

When is the primary election for the Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

The primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026. This date is crucial as it determines which candidate will represent the Democratic Party in the general election.

How do prediction markets work for political nominations?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning the nomination.

What is "Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?" and why does it matter?

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Jocelyn Benson leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Garlin Gilchrist at 1%.

What is moving the odds on "Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?"?

Jocelyn Benson currently leads at 93% implied probability. Behind Jocelyn Benson, Garlin Gilchrist at 1% are the next closest contenders. The 7.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread7.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Jocelyn Benson

92.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Garlin Gilchrist wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
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