Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Minnesota Governor Election Winner, set for November 3, 2026. This election will determine the state's leadership and could influence local policies and party dynamics leading into the 2028 presidential cycle.
Democratic party is priced at 90.9% implied probability for the “Minnesota Governor Election Winner” event. A 1.2% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are key factors. Additionally, local issues and national political trends can sway voter sentiment.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is significant as it aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and perceived probabilities of various candidates winning.
Minnesota Governor Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic party leads at 91% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Democratic party currently leads at 91% implied probability. A 1.2% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Democratic party
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Minnesota pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
90.9% avg
