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Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Governor winner?. Compare prices across Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Polymarket / PredictIt

Minnesota Governor winner?

2026-11-03

About This Market

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Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the Minnesota Governor election set for November 3, 2026. This election could influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a key focus for both local and national political strategies.

Republican is priced at 5.2% implied probability for the “Minnesota Governor winner” event. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Live Markets

2 platforms
R
RepublicanARB
6% Avg
Polymarket5¢
PredictIt8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PredictItPredictIt
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Minnesota Governor election?

Polling data, candidate popularity, and party support are critical in shaping the odds. Additionally, local issues and national political trends can impact voter sentiment.

When is the Minnesota Governor election scheduled?

The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with other major elections across the country.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants to forecast election outcomes. Prices reflect the perceived likelihood of various candidates winning based on real-time information.

What is "Minnesota Governor winner?" and why does it matter?

Minnesota Governor winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, PredictIt). Republican leads at 5% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "Minnesota Governor winner?"?

Republican currently leads at 5% implied probability. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

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Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

Republican

5.2% avg

Market Rulebook: Minnesota Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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