About This Market
SharePolymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner for the upcoming election on August 11, 2026. This primary is crucial as it will determine the Republican candidate who will compete for a Senate seat, impacting party dynamics and strategies leading into the general election.
Adam Schwarze leads the “Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner” event at 12.1% implied probability. Other contenders include Royce White (5.8%), Alycia Gruenhagen (1.2%), David Hann (1.1%), and Tom Weiler (0.9%). A 4.2% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
