Live prediction market odds for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-11
This market resolved on 2026-04-11. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-04-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 99% | 79% | 96% |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 1% | 22% | 10% |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Philadelphia Phillies led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arizona Diamondbacks at 11%.
Philadelphia Phillies held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, Arizona Diamondbacks at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Philadelphia Phillies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 20.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Philadelphia Phillies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Arizona wins the Arizona vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Arizona vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for April 11 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Philadelphia Phillies
91.1% avg
