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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 3.5% // +$350.00

Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET)

2026-06-04

About This Market

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Boston Red Sox leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET)” event at 52.3% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 49.3%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
BR
Boston Red Sox
52% Avg
Kalshi54¢
Polymarket54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
52.0%50¢54¢46¢50¢
PolymarketPolymarket
52.5%51¢54¢46¢49¢
BO
Baltimore Orioles
48% Avg
Kalshi51¢
Polymarket49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
48.0%45¢51¢49¢55¢
PolymarketPolymarket
47.5%46¢49¢51¢54¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET)" and why does it matter?

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Boston Red Sox leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 49%.

What is moving the odds on "Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET)"?

Boston Red Sox currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Boston Red Sox, Baltimore Orioles at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET)" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Boston Red Sox: 52¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore Orioles: 51¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Boston Red Sox is at 52%?

A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Boston Red Sox will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Boston wins the Baltimore vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 4 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread3.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Boston Red Sox

52.3% avg