Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Cleveland Guardians leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET)” event at 53.0% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 48.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Guardians leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 49%.
Cleveland Guardians currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Cleveland Guardians, Baltimore Orioles at 49% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Guardians: 54¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore Orioles: 49¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Cleveland Guardians will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Cleveland Guardians
53.0% avg
