Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Baltimore Orioles leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET)” event at 54.5% implied probability, followed by Kansas City Royals at 45.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore Orioles leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kansas City Royals at 45%.
Baltimore Orioles currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals at 45% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore Orioles: 54¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Kansas City Royals: 45¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Baltimore Orioles will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for April 20 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Baltimore Orioles
54.5% avg
