Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-20
This market resolved on 2026-04-20. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-04-20. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Baltimore OriolesWINNER | 99% | 51% | 96% |
Kansas City Royals | 1% | 49% | 7% |
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Baltimore Orioles led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Kansas City Royals at 19%.
Baltimore Orioles held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 48.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Baltimore Orioles: 99¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Kansas City Royals: 1¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 48.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Baltimore Orioles would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for April 20 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Baltimore Orioles
82.0% avg
