Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-05
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Baltimore Orioles leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)” event at 51.3% implied probability, followed by Miami Marlins at 48.8%. A 9.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore Orioles leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami Marlins at 49%.
Baltimore Orioles currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Baltimore Orioles, Miami Marlins at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 9.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore Orioles: 47¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Miami Marlins: 54¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 9.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Baltimore Orioles will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Baltimore Orioles
51.3% avg
