Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-05-07
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-07. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Miami Marlins leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)” event at 54.8% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 48.0%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami Marlins leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 48%.
Miami Marlins currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Miami Marlins, Baltimore Orioles at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami Marlins: 55¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket, 56¢ on ProphetX. Baltimore Orioles: 46¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket, 51¢ on ProphetX. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Miami Marlins will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Miami Marlins
54.8% avg
