Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-02
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Yankees leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 42.0%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Yankees leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 42%.
New York Yankees currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles at 42% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Yankees: 56¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore Orioles: 43¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that New York Yankees will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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New York Yankees
57.5% avg
