Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-03
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Yankees leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)” event at 56.5% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 43.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Yankees leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 43%.
New York Yankees currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles at 43% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Yankees: 57¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore Orioles: 42¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that New York Yankees will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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New York Yankees
56.5% avg
