Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-04
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Yankees leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)” event at 56.3% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 36.3%. A 10.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Yankees leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 36%.
New York Yankees currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles at 36% are the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Yankees: 51¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore Orioles: 34¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 10.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that New York Yankees will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
New York Yankees
56.3% avg
