Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tampa Bay Rays leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)” event at 59.5% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 43.0%. A 7.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tampa Bay Rays leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 43%.
Tampa Bay Rays currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles at 43% are the next closest contenders. The 7.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tampa Bay Rays: 63¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore Orioles: 42¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 7.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Tampa Bay Rays will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tampa Bay Rays
59.5% avg
