Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-17
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Baltimore Orioles leads the “Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals (1:35 PM ET)” event at 56.5% implied probability, followed by Washington Nationals at 41.5%. A 13.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals (1:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore Orioles leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington Nationals at 42%.
Baltimore Orioles currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Baltimore Orioles, Washington Nationals at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 13.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore Orioles: 50¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Washington Nationals: 46¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 13.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Baltimore Orioles will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Washington Nationals, scheduled for May 17 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Baltimore Orioles
56.5% avg
