Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-16
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Atlanta Braves leads the “Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET)” event at 61.0% implied probability, followed by Boston Red Sox at 39.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Atlanta Braves leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Boston Red Sox at 40%.
Atlanta Braves currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox at 40% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Atlanta Braves: 60¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Boston Red Sox: 42¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Atlanta Braves will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Atlanta wins the Boston vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Boston vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for May 16 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Atlanta Braves
61.0% avg
