Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-25
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Baltimore Orioles leads the “Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET)” event at 55.5% implied probability, followed by Boston Red Sox at 43.0%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore Orioles leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Boston Red Sox at 43%.
Baltimore Orioles currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox at 43% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore Orioles: 56¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Boston Red Sox: 41¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that Baltimore Orioles will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET)” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Boston wins the Boston vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Boston vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for April 25 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Baltimore Orioles
55.5% avg
