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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 4.5% // +$450.00

Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)

2026-06-19

About This Market

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Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Seattle Mariners leads the “Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)” event at 52.8% implied probability, followed by Boston Red Sox at 49.8%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
SM
Seattle Mariners
52% Avg
Kalshi55¢
Polymarket51¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
52.5%50¢55¢45¢50¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.5%50¢51¢49¢50¢
BR
Boston Red Sox
49% Avg
Kalshi51¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
49.0%47¢51¢49¢53¢
PolymarketPolymarket
49.5%49¢50¢50¢51¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)" and why does it matter?

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Seattle Mariners leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Boston Red Sox at 50%.

What is moving the odds on "Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)"?

Seattle Mariners currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Seattle Mariners, Boston Red Sox at 50% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Seattle Mariners: 55¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Boston Red Sox: 50¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Seattle Mariners is at 53%?

A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Seattle Mariners will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Seattle wins the Boston vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Boston vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for June 19 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread4.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Seattle Mariners

52.8% avg