Live prediction market odds for Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-25
This market resolved on 2026-05-25. Over 2.5 runs scored was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 runs scoredWINNER | 99% | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 98% | — |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | 97% | — |
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Over 2.5 runs scored led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Total under 10.5 at 98%, Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 at 97%, Total under 11.5 at 97%.
Over 2.5 runs scored held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Over 2.5 runs scored, Total under 10.5 at 98% and Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 at 97% and Total under 11.5 at 97% were the next closest contenders. The 14.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Total under 10.5: 98¢ on Polymarket. Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5: 97¢ on Polymarket. Total under 11.5: 97¢ on Polymarket. The 14.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Over 2.5 runs scored would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Pittsburgh wins the Chicago C vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago C vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 25 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Total under 11.5 | — | 97% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 97% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | 96% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 96% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | 95% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | 95% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 93% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 99% | 85% | 98% |
Total under 6.5 | — | 91% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 89% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5 | — | 75% | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5 | — | 25% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | 12% | — |
Chicago Cubs | 1% | 15% | 7% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | 10% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | 7% | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 5% | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 5% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | 5% | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 4% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 3% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | 3% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | 3% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | 3% | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates
93.9% avg
