Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-15
This market resolved on 2026-05-15. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati RedsWINNER | 99% | 70% | 91% |
Cleveland Guardians | 1% | 30% | 10% |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians (7:10 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Cincinnati Reds led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Guardians at 14%.
Cincinnati Reds held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Guardians at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 29.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Cincinnati Reds: 99¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 91¢ on ProphetX. Cleveland Guardians: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 29.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that Cincinnati Reds would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 15 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Cincinnati Reds
86.6% avg
