Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-09
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-09. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Miami Marlins leads the “Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins” event at 55.3% implied probability, followed by Cincinnati Reds at 45.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Marlins leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cincinnati Reds at 45%.
Miami Marlins currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Miami Marlins, Cincinnati Reds at 45% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Marlins: 55¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Cincinnati Reds: 46¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Miami Marlins will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Miami Marlins
55.3% avg
