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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 3.5% // +$350.00

Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

2026-06-20

About This Market

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Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

New York Yankees leads the “Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)” event at 63.3% implied probability, followed by Cincinnati Reds at 35.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
NY
New York Yankees
63% Avg
Kalshi65¢
Polymarket67¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
61.5%58¢65¢35¢42¢
PolymarketPolymarket
65.0%63¢67¢33¢37¢
CR
Cincinnati Reds
36% Avg
Kalshi40¢
Polymarket37¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
36.5%33¢40¢60¢67¢
PolymarketPolymarket
35.0%33¢37¢63¢67¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)" and why does it matter?

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Yankees leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cincinnati Reds at 36%.

What is moving the odds on "Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)"?

New York Yankees currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind New York Yankees, Cincinnati Reds at 36% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Yankees: 62¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Cincinnati Reds: 37¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that New York Yankees is at 63%?

A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that New York Yankees will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the Cincinnati vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 20 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread3.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

New York Yankees

63.3% avg