Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-05-20
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Cincinnati Reds leads the “Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET)” event at 91.8% implied probability, followed by Philadelphia Phillies at 9.6%. A 3.2% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Cincinnati Reds leads at 92% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Philadelphia Phillies at 10%.
Cincinnati Reds currently leads at 92% implied probability. Behind Cincinnati Reds, Philadelphia Phillies at 10% are the next closest contenders. The 3.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Cincinnati Reds: 91¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket, 93¢ on ProphetX. Philadelphia Phillies: 10¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 3.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ means the market estimates a 92% probability that Cincinnati Reds will be the outcome. Buying one share at 92¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 9% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 20 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Cincinnati Reds
91.8% avg
