Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-03
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET)” event at 54.3% implied probability, followed by Cincinnati Reds at 47.8%. A 10.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cincinnati Reds at 48%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 51¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Cincinnati Reds: 53¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 10.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
54.3% avg
