Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-01
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)” event at 54.0% implied probability, followed by Cincinnati Reds at 46.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cincinnati Reds at 47%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds at 47% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 54¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Cincinnati Reds: 48¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
54.0% avg
