Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-04
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Cleveland Guardians leads the “Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET)” event at 48.5% implied probability, followed by Kansas City Royals at 47.8%. A 8.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Guardians leads at 49% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kansas City Royals at 48%.
Cleveland Guardians currently leads at 49% implied probability. Behind Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Guardians: 49¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Kansas City Royals: 44¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 49¢ means the market estimates a 49% probability that Cleveland Guardians will be the outcome. Buying one share at 49¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 104% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Cleveland Guardians
48.5% avg
