Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-04
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Yankees leads the “Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)” event at 66.3% implied probability, followed by Cleveland Guardians at 34.8%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Yankees leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cleveland Guardians at 35%.
New York Yankees currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind New York Yankees, Cleveland Guardians at 35% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Yankees: 67¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Guardians: 35¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that New York Yankees will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the Cleveland vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 4 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
New York Yankees
66.3% avg
