Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-23
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia Phillies leads the “Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies (4:05 PM ET)” event at 63.3% implied probability, followed by Cleveland Guardians at 38.5%. A 9.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies (4:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia Phillies leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cleveland Guardians at 39%.
Philadelphia Phillies currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, Cleveland Guardians at 39% are the next closest contenders. The 9.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia Phillies: 68¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Guardians: 36¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 9.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that Philadelphia Phillies will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Cleveland vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 23 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Philadelphia Phillies
63.3% avg
