Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-27
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners — MLB game scheduled for 2026-03-27. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Seattle leads the “Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners” event at 58.5% implied probability, followed by Cleveland Guardians at 37.0%. A 16.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Seattle leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cleveland Guardians at 37%.
Seattle currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Seattle, Cleveland Guardians at 37% are the next closest contenders. The 16.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Seattle: 62¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Guardians: 29¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 16.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Seattle will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Seattle
58.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Seattle wins the Cleveland vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for March 27 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
