Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-28
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-28. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Baltimore Orioles leads the “Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET)” event at 47.8% implied probability, followed by Houston Astros at 43.5%. A 21.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore Orioles leads at 48% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Houston Astros at 44%.
Baltimore Orioles currently leads at 48% implied probability. Behind Baltimore Orioles, Houston Astros at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 21.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore Orioles: 50¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Houston Astros: 33¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. The 21.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 48¢ means the market estimates a 48% probability that Baltimore Orioles will be the outcome. Buying one share at 48¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 108% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Baltimore Orioles
47.8% avg
