Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-04-29
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Baltimore Orioles leads the “Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET)” event at 35.7% implied probability, followed by Houston Astros at 64.8%. A 52.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Baltimore Orioles leads at 36% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Houston Astros at 65%.
Baltimore Orioles currently leads at 36% implied probability. Behind Baltimore Orioles, Houston Astros at 65% are the next closest contenders. The 52.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Baltimore Orioles: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket, 54¢ on ProphetX. Houston Astros: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket, 48¢ on ProphetX. The 52.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 36¢ means the market estimates a 36% probability that Baltimore Orioles will be the outcome. Buying one share at 36¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 178% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Houston vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for April 29 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Baltimore Orioles
35.7% avg
