Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-23
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Chicago Cubs leads the “Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)” event at 58.5% implied probability, followed by Houston Astros at 43.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Chicago Cubs leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Houston Astros at 43%.
Chicago Cubs currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Chicago Cubs, Houston Astros at 43% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Chicago Cubs: 59¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Houston Astros: 44¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Chicago Cubs will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Houston vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for May 23 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Chicago Cubs
58.5% avg
