Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-10
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Houston Astros leads the “Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds (1:40 PM ET)” event at 50.3% implied probability, followed by Cincinnati Reds at 49.3%. A 12.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds (1:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Astros leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cincinnati Reds at 49%.
Houston Astros currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind Houston Astros, Cincinnati Reds at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 12.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Astros: 44¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Cincinnati Reds: 55¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 12.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that Houston Astros will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Houston Astros
50.3% avg
