Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-05-20
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Minnesota Twins leads the “Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET)” event at 94.5% implied probability, followed by Houston Astros at 7.3%. A 3.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Twins leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Houston Astros at 7%.
Minnesota Twins currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Minnesota Twins, Houston Astros at 7% are the next closest contenders. The 3.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Twins: 94¢ on Kalshi, 94¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Houston Astros: 7¢ on Kalshi, 6¢ on Polymarket, 9¢ on ProphetX. The 3.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ means the market estimates a 94% probability that Minnesota Twins will be the outcome. Buying one share at 94¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 6% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Houston vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for May 20 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Minnesota Twins
94.5% avg
