Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-18
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Houston Astros leads the “Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)” event at 53.8% implied probability, followed by Minnesota Twins at 47.0%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Astros leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Minnesota Twins at 47%.
Houston Astros currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Houston Astros, Minnesota Twins at 47% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Astros: 53¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Twins: 49¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Houston Astros will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Houston vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for May 18 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Houston Astros
53.8% avg
