Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-12
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Minnesota Twins leads the “Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)” event at 52.3% implied probability, followed by Miami Marlins at 49.8%. A 8.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Twins leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami Marlins at 50%.
Minnesota Twins currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Minnesota Twins, Miami Marlins at 50% are the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Twins: 50¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Miami Marlins: 54¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Minnesota Twins will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Minnesota Twins
52.3% avg
