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Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET)

2026-06-17

About This Market

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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Miami Marlins leads the “Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET)” event at 50.8% implied probability, followed by Philadelphia Phillies at 48.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
MM
Miami Marlins
51% Avg
Kalshi53¢
Polymarket53¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
51.0%49¢53¢47¢51¢
PolymarketPolymarket
51.5%50¢53¢47¢50¢
PP
Philadelphia Phillies
50% Avg
Kalshi53¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.5%48¢53¢47¢52¢
PolymarketPolymarket
48.5%47¢50¢50¢53¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET)" and why does it matter?

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Marlins leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Philadelphia Phillies at 48%.

What is moving the odds on "Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET)"?

Miami Marlins currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Miami Marlins, Philadelphia Phillies at 48% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET)" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Marlins: 50¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia Phillies: 48¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Miami Marlins is at 51%?

A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Miami Marlins will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Market Rulebook: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Philadelphia wins the Miami vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Miami vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 17 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread1.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Miami Marlins

50.8% avg