Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-16
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia Phillies leads the “Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET)” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by Miami Marlins at 40.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia Phillies leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami Marlins at 41%.
Philadelphia Phillies currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins at 41% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia Phillies: 57¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Miami Marlins: 39¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Philadelphia Phillies will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Miami vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Miami vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 16 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Philadelphia Phillies
57.5% avg
