Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-25
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Francisco Giants leads the “Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET)” event at 54.8% implied probability, followed by Miami Marlins at 47.3%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Francisco Giants leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami Marlins at 47%.
San Francisco Giants currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind San Francisco Giants, Miami Marlins at 47% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Francisco Giants: 57¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Miami Marlins: 47¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that San Francisco Giants will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Miami vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Miami vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for April 25 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
San Francisco Giants
54.8% avg
