Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-28
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles — MLB game scheduled for 2026-03-28. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Baltimore Orioles leads the “Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles” event at 49.8% implied probability, followed by Minnesota at 44.0%. A 16.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore Orioles leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Minnesota at 44%.
Baltimore Orioles currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind Baltimore Orioles, Minnesota at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 16.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore Orioles: 42¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota: 46¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 16.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that Baltimore Orioles will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Baltimore Orioles
49.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Minnesota vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Minnesota vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for March 28 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
