Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-23
This market resolved on 2026-05-23. Over 2.5 runs scored was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 runs scoredWINNER | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Over 2.5 runs scored led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 3.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 4.5 runs scored at 99%, Total under 11.5 at 98%.
Over 2.5 runs scored held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Over 2.5 runs scored, Over 3.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 4.5 runs scored at 99% and Total under 11.5 at 98% were the next closest contenders. The 62.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 3.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 4.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Total under 11.5: 98¢ on Polymarket. The 62.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Over 2.5 runs scored would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Boston wins the Minnesota vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Minnesota vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for May 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Total under 11.5 | — | 98% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | 97% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | 95% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 95% | — |
Minnesota Twins | 99% | 92% | 82% |
Total under 8.5 | — | 87% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 80% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 71% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 67% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 64% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | 39% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | 37% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | 33% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | 30% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | 21% | — |
Boston Red Sox | 1% | 8% | 21% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | 14% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | 6% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 5% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 3% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | 3% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 50% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 50% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5 | 1% | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | 38% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | 50% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | 50% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 62% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins
91.0% avg
