Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-10
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Cleveland Guardians leads the “Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET)” event at 51.3% implied probability, followed by Minnesota Twins at 48.3%. A 10.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Guardians leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Minnesota Twins at 48%.
Cleveland Guardians currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Cleveland Guardians, Minnesota Twins at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Guardians: 56¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Twins: 43¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. The 10.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Cleveland Guardians will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Cleveland Guardians
51.3% avg
