Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Mets leads the “Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)” event at 63.5% implied probability, followed by Minnesota Twins at 37.5%. A 11.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Mets leads at 64% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Minnesota Twins at 38%.
New York Mets currently leads at 64% implied probability. Behind New York Mets, Minnesota Twins at 38% are the next closest contenders. The 11.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Mets: 59¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Twins: 43¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. The 11.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 64¢ means the market estimates a 64% probability that New York Mets will be the outcome. Buying one share at 64¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 56% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Minnesota vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and New York Mets, scheduled for April 21 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
New York Mets
63.5% avg
