Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-05
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Minnesota Twins leads the “Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)” event at 57.8% implied probability, followed by Washington Nationals at 42.3%. A 9.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Twins leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington Nationals at 42%.
Minnesota Twins currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Minnesota Twins, Washington Nationals at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 9.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Twins: 53¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Washington Nationals: 47¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 9.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Minnesota Twins will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Minnesota Twins
57.8% avg
