Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-10
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Mets leads the “New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 PM ET)” event at 52.3% implied probability, followed by Arizona Diamondbacks at 48.3%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Mets leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arizona Diamondbacks at 48%.
New York Mets currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind New York Mets, Arizona Diamondbacks at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Mets: 51¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Arizona Diamondbacks: 50¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that New York Mets will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
New York Mets
52.3% avg
