Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-09
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-09. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Mets leads the “New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET)” event at 55.3% implied probability, followed by Arizona Diamondbacks at 44.0%. A 5.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Mets leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arizona Diamondbacks at 44%.
New York Mets currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind New York Mets, Arizona Diamondbacks at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 5.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Mets: 53¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Arizona Diamondbacks: 46¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 5.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that New York Mets will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
New York Mets
55.3% avg
