Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-08
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-08. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Mets leads the “New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)” event at 52.5% implied probability, followed by Arizona Diamondbacks at 49.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Mets leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arizona Diamondbacks at 49%.
New York Mets currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind New York Mets, Arizona Diamondbacks at 49% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Mets: 53¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Arizona Diamondbacks: 50¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that New York Mets will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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New York Mets
52.5% avg
