Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-04
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Mets leads the “New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)” event at 60.0% implied probability, followed by Colorado Rockies at 39.5%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Mets leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Colorado Rockies at 40%.
New York Mets currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind New York Mets, Colorado Rockies at 40% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Mets: 56¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Colorado Rockies: 43¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that New York Mets will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
New York Mets
60.0% avg
