Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-05
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Diego Padres leads the “New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)” event at 53.8% implied probability, followed by New York Mets at 46.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Diego Padres leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include New York Mets at 46%.
San Diego Padres currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind San Diego Padres, New York Mets at 46% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Diego Padres: 54¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. New York Mets: 46¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that San Diego Padres will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf San Diego wins the New York M vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 5, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 5, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and San Diego Padres, scheduled for June 5 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
San Diego Padres
53.8% avg
