Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners (3:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-06-03
This market resolved on 2026-06-03. New York Mets spread minus 2.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners (3:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-06-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New York Mets spread minus 2.5WINNER | 99% | 100% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 99% |
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners (3:40 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New York Mets spread minus 2.5 led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New York Mets spread minus 3.5 at 99%, New York Mets spread minus 1.5 at 99%, Total over 4.5 at 99%.
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York Mets spread minus 2.5, New York Mets spread minus 3.5 at 99% and New York Mets spread minus 1.5 at 99% and Total over 4.5 at 99% were the next closest contenders. A 2.2% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New York Mets spread minus 2.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. New York Mets spread minus 3.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. New York Mets spread minus 1.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Total over 4.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 2.2% spread showed moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that New York Mets spread minus 2.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York M wins the New York M vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 3, 2026 at 3:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 3, 2026 at 3:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for June 3 at 3:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| 100% |
| — |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
New York Mets | 99% | 100% | 98% |
Seattle Mariners | 1% | 0% | 2% |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 0% | — |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5 | — | 0% | — |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5 | — | 0% | — |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — |
New York Mets
99.1% avg
